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Contents

SIPRI Yearbook 2015

SIPRI Yearbook 2015

III. Patterns of organized violence, 2004–13

Chapter:
4. Armed conflict
Source:
SIPRI Yearbook 2015
Author(s):
Peter Wallensteen

This section provides a 10-year overview of three categories of organized violence used by the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP): state-based conflict, non-state conflict and one-sided violence. The number of incidents of violent action that resulted in the deaths of at least 25 people in a particular year (the threshold for inclusion in the UCDP) was exactly the same in 2013 as in 2004, at 106. The number of state-based conflicts in 2013 was also the same as in 2004. Over the decade, however, the emphasis has shifted from one-sided violence, which was the largest category in 2004, to non-state conflict, which was the largest category in 2013. The number of campaigns of one-sided violence has declined steadily over the decade to almost half the number recorded in 2004, whereas the number of non-state conflicts increased dramatically. The number of state-based conflicts shows less of a clear trend, fluctuating between 31 and 37 over the period (see figure 4.4). Looking at the overall trend in the number of fatalities from organized violence, a more distinct—and troubling—trend emerges. Largely due to developments in state-based conflict, and particularly due to the Syrian conflict,1 the number of deaths from organized violence increased from about 30 000 in 2004 to nearly 56 000 in 2013 (see figure 4.5).2

Citation (MLA):
Wallensteen, Peter. "4. Armed conflict." SIPRI Yearbook. SIPRI. Oxford: Oxford University Press. 2016. Web. 21 Oct. 2019. <https://www.sipriyearbook.org/view/9780198737810/sipri-9780198737810-chapter-4-div1-4.xml>.
Citation (APA):
Wallensteen, P. (2016). 4. Armed conflict. In SIPRI, SIPRI Yearbook 2015: Armaments, Disarmament and International Security. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Retrieved 21 Oct. 2019, from https://www.sipriyearbook.org/view/9780198737810/sipri-9780198737810-chapter-4-div1-4.xml
Citation (Chicago):
Wallensteen, Peter. "4. Armed conflict." In SIPRI Yearbook 2015: Armaments, Disarmament and International Security, SIPRI. (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2016). Retrieved 21 Oct. 2019, from https://www.sipriyearbook.org/view/9780198737810/sipri-9780198737810-chapter-4-div1-4.xml
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