Contents

Chapter:

Source:

SIPRI Yearbook 2017

• Preface

• Abbreviations and conventions

• SIPRI Yearbook online

• Introduction

  1. 1. Introduction: international security, armaments and disarmament Dan Smith
     1. I. The year 2016 in review
     2. II. Trends in armaments and disarmament
     3. III. International politics and global security
     4. IV. Conclusions

• Part I. Armed conflicts and conflict management, 2016

  1. 2. Armed conflict and peace processes
     • Overview Ian Davis
     1. I. Patterns of organized violence, 2007–16 Margareta Sollenberg and Erik Melander
     2. II. Out of the darkness? The hope for peace in Colombia Pedro Valenzuela
     3. III. Mapping armed conflicts over Islamist claims: exploring regional variations Desirée Nilsson and Isak Svensson
     4. IV. The Global Peace Index 2017 Camilla Schippa and Thomas Morgan
  2. 3. Armed conflict and instability in the Middle East and North Africa
     • Overview Ian Davis, Dan Smith and Pieter D. Wezeman
     1. I. The Middle East and North Africa: 2016 in perspective Dan Smith
     2. II. The Islamic State in 2016: a failing ‘caliphate’ but a growing transnational threat? Ian Davis
     3. III. Military spending and arms transfers to the Middle East and North Africa Pieter D. Wezeman
  3. 4. European security
     • Overview Ian Anthony
     1. I. Conflict or peace in Europe? Increasing uncertainties, rising insecurities Ian Anthony
     2. II. Conflicts in the post-Soviet space: recent developments Ekaterina Klimenko
     3. III. Turkey’s search for stability and legitimacy in 2016 Michael Sahlin
  4. 5. Peace operations and conflict management
     • Overview Jaïr van der Lijn
     1. I. Global trends in peace operations Timo Smit
     2. II. Regional trends and developments Jaïr van der Lijn and Timo Smit
     3. III. Protection of civilians: the case of South Sudan Jaïr van der Lijn
     4. IV. Table of multilateral peace operations, 2016 Timo Smit

• Part II. Security and development, 2016

  1. 6. Sustaining peace and sustainable development in dangerous places
     • Overview Marina Caparini and Gary Milante
     1. I. Peace and development Gary Milante
     2. II. Sustaining peace: the new overarching United Nations framework Marina Caparini and Gary Milante
     3. III. Delivering as one: other multilateral mechanisms for sustaining peace Emma Bjertén Günther, Marina Caparini and Yeonju Jung
     4. IV. The peace being sustained: operationalizing prevention Marina Caparini and Gary Milante
  2. 7. Coping with crises: forced displacement in fragile contexts
     • Overview Lina Grip
     1. I. Introduction Lina Grip
     2. II. Displacement dangers Lina Grip
     3. III. Crises of forced displacement in fragile contexts: key developments in 2016 Lina Grip
     4. IV. United Nations and regional responses to displacement crises Lina Grip
     5. V. Conclusions Lina Grip
  3. 8. Exploring the links between climate change and violent conflict
     • Overview Malin Mobjörk
     1. I. Exploring the climate–conflict link: the case of East Africa Malin Mobjörk
     2. II. Weather-related disasters and violent conflict Michael Brzoska

• Part III. Military spending and armaments, 2016

  1. 9. Military expenditure
     • Overview Nan Tian
     1. I. Global developments in military expenditure Nan Tian, Aude Fleurant, Pieter D. Wezeman and Siemon T. Wezeman
     2. II. US military expenditure Aude Fleurant
     3. III. Oil price shocks and military expenditure Nan Tian
     4. IV. The backdating of SIPRI military expenditure data Sam Perlo-Freeman
     5. V. Transparency in military expenditure data Noel Kelly, Diego Lopes and Nan Tian
  2. 10. International arms transfers and developments in arms production
     • Overview Siemon T. Wezeman and Aude Fleurant
     1. I. Developments in arms transfers, 2016 Siemon T. Wezeman, Aude Fleurant, Nan Tian and Pieter D. Wezeman
     2. II. Arms transfers as military aid Siemon T. Wezeman
     3. III. Transparency in arms transfers Mark Bromley and Siemon T. Wezeman
     4. IV. The financial value of states’ arms exports Mark Bromley and Pieter D. Wezeman
     5. V. Arms production and military services Aude Fleurant and Nan Tian
  3. 11. World nuclear forces
     • Overview Shannon N. Kile and Hans M. Kristensen
     1. I. US nuclear forces Hans M. Kristensen
     2. II. Russian nuclear forces Hans M. Kristensen
     3. III. British nuclear forces Shannon N. Kile and Hans M. Kristensen
     4. IV. French nuclear forces Shannon N. Kile and Hans M. Kristensen
     5. V. Chinese nuclear forces Shannon N. Kile and Hans M. Kristensen
     6. VI. Indian nuclear forces Shannon N. Kile and Hans M. Kristensen
     7. VII. Pakistani nuclear forces Shannon N. Kile and Hans M. Kristensen
     8. VIII. Israeli nuclear forces Shannon N. Kile and Hans M. Kristensen
     9. IX. North Korea’s military nuclear capabilities Shannon N. Kile and Hans M. Kristensen
     10. X. Global stocks and production of fissile materials, 2016 Alexander Glaser and Zia Mian
     11. XI. Nuclear explosions, 1945–2016 Vitaly Fedchenko

• Part IV. Non-proliferation, arms control and disarmament, 2016

  1. 12. Nuclear disarmament, non-proliferation and arms control
     • Overview Tariq Rauf and Shannon N. Kile
     1. I. Russian–US nuclear arms control and disarmament Shannon N. Kile
     2. II. International cooperation to enhance nuclear security Shannon N. Kile
     3. III. Initiatives and multilateral treaties on nuclear disarmament, non-proliferation and arms control Tariq Rauf
     4. IV. Implementation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action in Iran Tariq Rauf
  2. 13. Chemical and biological security threats
     • Overview John Hart
     1. I. Achieving clarity on Syrian chemical weapon declarations to the OPCW and continued chemical weapon use allegations John Hart
     2. II. Allegations of use of chemical weapons in Iraq John Hart
     3. III. Chemical arms control and disarmament John Hart
     4. IV. Biological arms control John Hart
  3. 14. Conventional arms control
     • Overview Ian Davis
     1. I. International humanitarian law: ICRC guidance and its application in urban warfare Ian Anthony
     2. II. Humanitarian arms control regimes: key developments in 2016 Ian Davis, Vincent Boulanin, Mark Bromley, Lina Grip and Maaike Verbruggen
     3. III. A relaunch of conventional arms control in Europe? Ian Anthony
  4. 15. Dual-use and arms trade controls
     • Overview Sibylle Bauer
     1. I. The Arms Trade Treaty Mark Bromley
     2. II. Multilateral embargoes on arms and dual-use items Mark Bromley, Noel Kelly and Pieter D. Wezeman
     3. III. The export control regimes Sibylle Bauer and Giovanna Maletta
     4. IV. Developments in EU dual-use and arms trade controls Sibylle Bauer and Mark Bromley
     5. V. Human rights, the European Union and dual-use export controls Mark Bromley

• Annexes

  1. Annex A. Arms control and disarmament agreements
     1. I. Universal treaties
     2. II. Regional treaties
     3. III. Bilateral treaties
  2. Annex B. International security cooperation bodies
     1. I. Bodies with a global focus or membership
     2. II. Bodies with a regional focus or membership
     3. III. Strategic trade control regimes
  3. Annex C. Chronology 2016 Ian Davis

• About the authors